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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Ajax
T S T S S
0–3
Full-time
Liverpool
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,7
3,0
Scored
3,2
2,2
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
5,0
4,5
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -22 Liverpool – Ajax 2–1

Match report

Ajax Liverpool
42′
⚽ Mohamed Salah 0–1
J. Henderson
Half-time 0–2
49′
⚽ D. Núñez 0–2
A. Robertson
52′
⚽ H. Elliott 0–3
Mohamed Salah
M. Kudus 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
58′
O. Wijndal 🔁
↦ D. Blind
58′
K. Taylor 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
63′
63′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ D. Núñez
71′
🔁 J. Milner
↦ J. Henderson
71′
🔁 Fábio Carvalho
↦ H. Elliott
71′
🔁 Stefan Bajčetić
↦ Fabinho
F. Grillitsch 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
85′
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
85′
87′
🔁 K. Tsimikas
↦ A. Robertson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
19 J. Sánchez D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
17 D. Blind D
6 D. Klaassen M
4 E. Álvarez M
23 S. Berghuis M
7 S. Bergwijn F
9 B. Brobbey F
10 D. Tadić F
Bench (11)
20 M. Kudus
5 O. Wijndal
8 K. Taylor
21 F. Grillitsch
35 Francisco Conceição
16 J. Gorter
1 M. Stekelenburg
11 L. Ocampos
15 D. Rensch
29 L. Magallán
18 L. Lucca

Coach: A. Schreuder

Liverpool

4-3-1-2
1 Alisson G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
2 J. Gomez D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
19 H. Elliott M
3 Fabinho M
14 J. Henderson M
9 Roberto Firmino M
27 D. Núñez F
11 Mohamed Salah F
Bench (10)
17 C. Jones
7 J. Milner
28 Fábio Carvalho
43 Stefan Bajčetić
21 K. Tsimikas
62 C. Kelleher
5 I. Konaté
13 Adrián
47 N. Phillips
22 C. Ramsay

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.