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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Barcelona
S U T S S
0–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
4,8
Scored
2,0
3,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,8
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,0
3,3
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -22 Bayern Munich – Barcelona 2–0

Match report

Barcelona Bayern Munich
10′
⚽ S. Mané 0–1
S. Gnabry
16′
🟨 Noussair Mazraoui
23′
🟨 Leon Goretzka
31′
⚽ E. Choupo-Moting 0–2
S. Gnabry
35′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
Sergio Busquets 🟨
41′
Robert Lewandowski ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
45′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ L. Goretzka
56′
ℹ️ Serge Gnabry
VAR: Goal cancelled
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
58′
Raphinha 🔁
↦ Pedri
58′
63′
🔁 B. Pavard
↦ D. Upamecano
63′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
Eric García 🔁
↦ J. Koundé
67′
67′
🔁 R. Gravenberch
↦ J. Musiala
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
68′
79′
🔁 J. Stanišić
↦ N. Mazraoui
Pablo Torre 🔁
↦ R. Lewandowski
82′
95′
⚽ B. Pavard 0–3
S. Gnabry
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
2 Héctor Bellerín D
23 J. Koundé D
17 Marcos Alonso D
28 Alejandro Balde D
19 F. Kessié M
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
8 Pedri F
Bench (10)
11 Ferran Torres
22 Raphinha
24 Eric García
10 Ansu Fati
32 Pablo Torre
26 Iñaki Peña
36 Arnau Tenas
30 Gavi
18 Jordi Alba
3 Piqué

Coach: Xavi

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
40 N. Mazraoui D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 M. de Ligt D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 S. Gnabry M
42 J. Musiala M
17 S. Mané M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (8)
18 M. Sabitzer
5 B. Pavard
25 T. Müller
38 R. Gravenberch
44 J. Stanišić
11 K. Coman
39 M. Tel
35 J. Schenk

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.