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Champions League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
RB Leipzig
S S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Man City
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,77 xG 1,18
38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

RB Leipzig Man City
27′
⚽ R. Mahrez 0–1
İ. Gündoğan
Half-time 0–1
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ L. Klostermann
46′
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
66′
1–1 J. Gvardiol ⚽
M. Halstenberg
70′
Y. Poulsen 🔁
↦ André Silva
82′
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
82′
D. Raum 🔁
↦ M. Halstenberg
89′
Benjamin Henrichs 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
21 J. Blaswich G
16 L. Klostermann D
4 W. Orbán D
32 J. Gvardiol D
23 M. Halstenberg D
27 K. Laimer M
24 X. Schlager M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
10 E. Forsberg M
11 T. Werner M
19 André Silva F
Bench (9)
39 B. Henrichs
18 C. Nkunku
9 Y. Poulsen
8 A. Haidara
22 D. Raum
34 J. Nickisch
2 M. Simakan
44 K. Kampl
13 Ø. Nyland

Coach: M. Rose

Man City

3-2-4-1
31 Ederson G
25 M. Akanji D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
20 Bernardo Silva M
16 Rodri M
2 K. Walker F
26 R. Mahrez M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
10 J. Grealish F
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (11)
18 S. Ortega
33 S. Carson
32 M. Perrone
47 P. Foden
80 C. Palmer
21 Sergio Gómez
82 R. Lewis
62 S. Charles
93 A. Robertson
4 K. Phillips
19 J. Álvarez

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.