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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Inter
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,58 xG 1,65
60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Inter Porto
Federico Dimarco 🟨
41′
41′
🟨 Otávio
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 Evanilson
↦ Galeno
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
58′
R. Lukaku 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
58′
63′
🟨 Pepê
M. Brozović 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
72′
78′
🟨 Otávio
78′
🟥 Otávio
D. Dumfries 🔁
↦ M. Škriniar
81′
83′
🔁 Wendell
↦ M. Taremi
1–0 R. Lukaku ⚽
86′
92′
🔁 Gonçalo Borges
↦ João Mário
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
37 M. Škriniar D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 L. Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
8 R. Gosens
90 R. Lukaku
77 M. Brozović
2 D. Dumfries
5 R. Gagliardini
21 A. Cordaz
33 D. D'Ambrosio
45 V. Carboni
1 S. Handanovič
12 R. Bellanova
6 S. de Vrij
14 K. Asllani

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
3 Pepe D
5 Iván Marcano D
12 Z. Sanusi D
16 M. Grujić M
8 M. Uribe M
11 Pepê Aquino M
25 Otávio M
13 Galeno M
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (12)
30 Evanilson
22 Wendell
70 Gonçalo Borges
46 S. Eustáquio
29 Toni Martínez
4 David Carmo
87 Bernardo Folha
20 André Franco
2 Fábio Cardoso
14 Cláudio Ramos
19 D. Namaso
17 Rodrigo Conceição

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.