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Champions League
Referee: Jesús Gil
Milan
U S U U S
0–2
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 25%
30%
20%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,90 xG 1,97
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Feb -23 Inter – Milan 1–0 3. Sep -22 Milan – Inter 3–2 5. Feb -22 Inter – Milan 1–2 7. Nov -21 Milan – Inter 1–1 21. Feb -21 Milan – Inter 0–3

Match report

Milan Inter
8′
⚽ E. Džeko 0–1
H. Çalhanoğlu
11′
⚽ H. Mkhitaryan 0–2
F. Dimarco
Junior Messias 🔁
↦ I. Bennacer
17′
32′
ℹ️ Lautaro Martínez
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–2
Rade Krunić 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
D. Origi 🔁
↦ A. Saelemaekers
59′
M. Thiaw 🔁
↦ S. Kjær
59′
62′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
Fikayo Tomori 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 S. de Vrij
↦ F. Dimarco
70′
🔁 R. Lukaku
↦ E. Džeko
78′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
78′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ Lautaro Martínez
T. Pobega 🔁
↦ Brahim Díaz
82′
P. Kalulu 🔁
↦ D. Calabria
82′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
24 S. Kjær D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
33 R. Krunić M
8 S. Tonali M
10 Brahim Díaz M
4 I. Bennacer M
56 A. Saelemaekers M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (11)
30 Junior Messias
27 D. Origi
28 M. Thiaw
32 T. Pobega
20 P. Kalulu
92 L. Nava
5 F. Ballo
12 A. Rebić
46 M. Gabbia
83 A. Mirante
90 C. De Ketelaere

Coach: S. Pioli

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
36 M. Darmian D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
77 M. Brozović
6 S. de Vrij
90 R. Lukaku
5 R. Gagliardini
11 J. Correa
12 R. Bellanova
33 D. D'Ambrosio
46 M. Zanotti
21 A. Cordaz
14 K. Asllani
1 S. Handanovič
8 R. Gosens

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.