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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Milan

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Inter

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 78%

91%

64%

Points per game

2,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

55%

73%

Both score Ø 69%

64%

73%

Average goals

3,2

3,6

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 2. · Inter 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+20	32
2	Milan	11	10	1	0	+15	31
3	Inter	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Atalanta	12	6	4	2	+7	22
5	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Roma	12	6	1	5	+6	19
7	Fiorentina	12	6	0	6	+2	18
8	Juventus	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Bologna	12	5	3	4	-4	18
10	Verona	12	4	4	4	+4	16
11	Empoli	12	5	1	6	-5	16
12	Torino	12	4	2	6	+3	14
13	Sassuolo	12	4	2	6	-1	14
14	Udinese	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Venezia	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Spezia	12	3	2	7	-13	11
17	Genoa	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Sampdoria	12	2	3	7	-10	9
19	Salernitana	12	2	1	9	-16	7
20	Cagliari	12	1	3	8	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Milan	5	5	0	0	+9	15
4	Bologna	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Roma	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Verona	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Inter	5	3	2	0	+11	11
8	Torino	6	3	1	2	+6	10
9	Juventus	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Udinese	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Venezia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Spezia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Cagliari	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Salernitana	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Empoli	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Genoa	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Milan	6	5	1	0	+6	16
4	Inter	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Empoli	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Fiorentina	7	3	0	4	-2	9
7	Juventus	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Roma	6	2	0	4	+1	6
10	Genoa	7	1	3	3	-5	6
11	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Verona	6	0	4	2	-2	4
16	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Torino	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-12	4
19	Salernitana	6	1	0	5	-9	3
20	Cagliari	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.