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Champions League
Referee: V Spasjoņņikovs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
T S T T
1–2
Full-time
Qarabag
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
25%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1 Corners 0
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lincoln Red Imps FC Qarabag
1–0 K. Gómez ⚽
25′
Half-time 1–0
Mustapha Yahaya 🟨
49′
S. Ajayi 🔁
↦ Mandi
55′
58′
⚽ R. Xhixha 1–1
A. Zoubir
61′
🔁 H. Keyta
↦ N. Axundzadə
61′
🔁 Y. Benzia
↦ R. Xhixha
L. Casciaro 🔁
↦ E. Britto
64′
Santi Luque 🔁
↦ L. Walker
64′
Lee Casciaro 🟨
72′
Juanfri 🔁
↦ Juampe
73′
Bernardo Lopes 🟨
78′
87′
🔁 A. Diakhaby
↦ Leandro Andrade
87′
🔁 Q. Qarayev
↦ M. Janković
94′
⚽ Y. Benzia 1–2
Q. Qarayev
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-3-3
23 D. Coleing G
5 I. Ayew D
24 J. Sergeant D
6 B. Lopes D
21 Nano M
20 M. Yahaya M
88 Mandi M
66 E. Britto D
10 L. Walker M
9 K. Gómez F
11 Juampe M
Bench (10)
4 S. Ajayi
7 L. Casciaro
99 Santi Luque
19 Juanfri
13 Iván Villanueva
31 J. Sciortino
29 L. Chipolina
33 D. Burnet
77 K. Clinton
1 Nauzet García

Coach: Javi Muñoz

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
90 N. Axundzadə M
15 Leandro Andrade M
10 A. Zoubir M
19 R. Xhixha F
Bench (12)
17 H. Keyta
7 Y. Benzia
11 A. Diakhaby
2 Q. Qarayev
89 A. Ramazanov
83 N. Quliyev
27 T. Bayramov
4 R. Məmmədov
55 B. Hüseynov
20 R. Almeyda
23 L. Gugeshashvili
5 M. Medvedev

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Spasjoņņikovs · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.