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Europa League
Referee: A Kulbakov
Qarabag
T S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Freiburg
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
0,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
6 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 Freiburg – Qarabag 2–1

Match report

Qarabag Freiburg
Bahlul Mustafazada 🟨
24′
25′
⚽ N. Petersen 0–1
34′
🟨 Kevin Schade
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Kübler
↦ C. Günter
Marko Janković 🟨
48′
51′
🟨 Hugo Siquet
Ramil Sheydaev ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
53′
Kady Borges 🟨
55′
Marko Janković ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
Kevin Medina 🟥
61′
Kady Borges ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
61′
62′
🔁 R. Sallai
↦ K. Schade
M. Medvedev 🔁
↦ R. Şeydayev
63′
64′
🟨 Yannik Keitel
72′
🔁 Jeong Woo-Yeong
↦ N. Weißhaupt
73′
🔁 M. Ginter
↦ H. Siquet
74′
🟨 Keven Schlotterbeck
84′
🔁 V. Grifo
↦ L. Höler
M. Qurbanlı 🔁
↦ R. Almeyda
87′
A. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
88′
Júlio Romão 🔁
↦ M. Janković
88′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
88′
1–1 O. Kwabena ⚽
T. Bayramov
91′
Júlio Romão 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
8 M. Janković M
7 R. Almeyda M
77 R. Şeydayev M
20 Kady M
10 A. Zoubir M
11 O. Kwabena F
Bench (12)
5 M. Medvedev
22 M. Qurbanlı
30 A. Hüseynov
6 Júlio Romão
27 T. Bayramov
90 N. Axundzadə
55 B. Hüseynov
4 R. Məmmədov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
18 İ. İbrahimli
2 Q. Qarayev
89 A. Ramazanov

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Freiburg

4-4-2
21 N. Atubolu G
2 H. Siquet D
25 K. Sildillia D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
30 C. Günter D
20 K. Schade M
14 Y. Keitel M
23 R. Wagner M
33 N. Weißhaupt M
18 N. Petersen F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (12)
17 L. Kübler
22 R. Sallai
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
28 M. Ginter
32 V. Grifo
27 N. Höfler
3 P. Lienhart
1 B. Uphoff
26 M. Flekken
8 M. Eggestein
38 M. Gregoritsch
42 R. Dōan

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kulbakov · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.