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Champions League
Referee: M Krogh
Bate Borisov
T T U S T
3–5
Full-time
Aris
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bate Borisov Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
40%
83%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
3,4
4,5
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
2,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,8
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,0
8,0
Scored
1,7
6,0
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jul -23 Aris – Bate Borisov 6–2

Match report

Bate Borisov Aris
3′
🟨 Franz Brorsson
8′
⚽ S. Babicka 0–1
M. Mayambela
9′
ℹ️ Shavy Warren Babicka
VAR: Goal confirmed
Sherif Jimoh 🟨
15′
24′
🟨 Alex Moussounda
1–1 V. Gromyko ⚽
25′
26′
⚽ Y. Gomis 1–2
S. Babicka
Ruslan Khadarkevich 🟨
30′
Valeri Bocherov 🟨
32′
35′
⚽ Caju 1–3
A. Martynov 🔁
↦ S. Bane
42′
Half-time 1–3
46′
🔁 M. Sané
↦ F. Brorsson
46′
🔁 M. Stępiński
↦ S. Babicka
2–3 A. Martynov ⚽
D. Laptev
48′
56′
⚽ L. Bengtsson 2–4
M. Mayambela
57′
🔁 S. Urošević
↦ Caju
57′
🔁 V. Nikolić
↦ K. Struski
S. Islamović 🔁
↦ D. Grechikho
68′
D. Antilevskiy 🔁
↦ D. Podstrelov
69′
V. Malkevich 🔁
↦ S. Jimoh
69′
74′
🔁 J. Montnor
↦ Y. Gomis
74′
⚽ M. Stępiński 2–5
J. Montnor
S. Volkov 🔁
↦ V. Gromyko
84′
3–5 D. Laptev ⚽
93′
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Bate Borisov

4-1-4-1
35 A. Kudravets G
17 D. Nechaev D
3 R. Khadarkevich D
5 S. Bane D
14 S. Jimoh D
15 V. Bocherov M
23 D. Podstrelov M
18 D. Grechikho M
10 V. Gromyko M
80 A. Kontsevoy M
55 D. Laptev F
Bench (9)
4 A. Martynov
50 S. Islamović
90 D. Antilevskiy
44 V. Malkevich
24 S. Volkov
13 A. Shestyuk
51 V. Dergachev
99 M. Kovruk
9 I. Vasilevich

Coach: K. Alshevskiy

Aris

4-2-3-1
1 Vaná G
20 S. Yago D
31 F. Brorsson D
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
3 Caju D
37 J. Szöke M
23 K. Struski M
80 S. Babicka M
21 M. Mayambela M
7 L. Bengtsson M
14 Y. Gomis F
Bench (10)
19 M. Sané
11 M. Stępiński
72 S. Urošević
22 V. Nikolić
66 J. Montnor
8 M. Brown
10 M. Špoljarić
78 K. Chrysostomou
90 E. Sofroniou
12 A. Demetriou

Coach: A. Shpilevskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.