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Champions League
Referee: C Dingert
Olimpija Ljubljana
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpija Ljubljana Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 7
5 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jul -23 Ludogorets – Olimpija Ljubljana 1–1

Match report

Olimpija Ljubljana Ludogorets
Timi Max Elšnik 🟨
7′
Mustafa Nukić 🟨
12′
Agustín Doffo 🟨
13′
Marcel Ratnik 🟨
14′
15′
⚽ K. Despodov 0–1
18′
🟨 Marcel Heister
1–1 T. Elšnik ⚽
Jorge Silva
18′
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
55′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ M. Tissera
55′
🔁 J. Piotrowski
↦ B. Tekpetey
Pedro Lucas 🔁
↦ M. Nukić
60′
69′
🔁 Caio Vidal
↦ Claude Gonçalves
N. Motika 🔁
↦ I. Posavec
81′
82′
🟥 Son
83′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ Pedro Naressi
83′
🔁 A. Witry
↦ D. Yankov
Jorge Silva 🟨
87′
2–1 T. Elšnik ⚽
S. Sešlar
92′
A. Krefl 🔁
↦ Rui Pedro
95′
N. Gavrić 🔁
↦ S. Sešlar
95′
101′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-4-2
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
16 A. Muhamedbegović D
3 David Sualehe D
99 Rui Pedro F
34 A. Doffo M
10 T. Elšnik M
19 S. Sešlar M
9 M. Nukić F
21 I. Posavec M
Bench (12)
37 Pedro Lucas
20 N. Motika
43 A. Krefl
33 N. Gavrić
11 S. Fadida
31 Ž. Mauricio
26 V. Janković
6 M. Karamatić
22 D. Pintol
15 M. Ristić
17 A. Bristrić
77 A. Jakupović

Coach: João Henriques

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
17 Son D
24 O. Verdon D
22 F. Russo D
44 M. Heister D
64 D. Yankov M
30 Pedro Naressi M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
37 B. Tekpetey F
10 M. Tissera F
11 K. Despodov M
Bench (11)
90 S. Delev
6 J. Piotrowski
77 Caio Vidal
82 I. Yordanov
16 A. Witry
5 G. Terziev
20 Nonato
7 Rick
32 I. Plastun
12 S. Sluga
69 P. Pepelyashev

Coach: I. Petev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.