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Champions League
Referee: S Jablonski
Qarabag
S T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Rakow
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jul -23 Rakow – Qarabag 3–2

Match report

Qarabag Rakow
31′
🔁 B. Nowak
↦ J. Yeboah
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Piasecki
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
Kevin Medina 🟨
48′
51′
F. Tudor 0–1
M. Cebula
57′
🟨 Jean Carlos
1–1 R. Xhixha
E. Cəfərquliyev
60′
61′
🔁 S. Kittel
↦ M. Cebula
61′
🔁 V. Kochergin
↦ B. Nowak
Juninho 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
70′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ R. Xhixha
70′
A. Diakhaby 🔁
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
79′
82′
🔁 D. Sorescu
↦ F. Tudor
N. Axundzadə 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
86′
93′
🟨 Vladan Kovačević
Marko Janković 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
27 T. Bayramov D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
19 R. Xhixha F
Bench (12)
18 Juninho
17 H. Keyta
11 A. Diakhaby
90 N. Axundzadə
4 R. Məmmədov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
83 N. Quliyev
5 M. Medvedev
55 B. Hüseynov
66 Patrick Andrade
89 A. Ramazanov
20 R. Almeyda

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
5 G. Berggren M
20 Jean Carlos M
77 M. Cebula M
9 Ł. Zwoliński F
11 J. Yeboah F
Bench (10)
27 B. Nowak
99 F. Piasecki
93 S. Kittel
30 V. Kochergin
22 D. Sorescu
8 B. Lederman
6 S. Czyż
89 K. Bieszczad
14 S. Plavšić
17 M. Wdowiak

Coach: D. Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.