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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

Rakow

S U T T S

1–1

Full-time

Zaglebie

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 53%

70%

36%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

45%

Both score Ø 38%

36%

39%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 1. · Zaglebie 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	33	23	5	5	+39	74
2	Legia	33	18	9	6	+18	63
3	Lech Poznan	33	16	10	7	+20	58
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	16	9	8	+7	57
5	Piast Gliwice	33	14	8	11	+6	50
6	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	8	12	+2	47
7	Warta Poznan	33	12	9	12	+3	45
8	Radomiak Radom	33	12	8	13	-3	44
9	Zaglebie	33	12	8	13	-9	44
10	Cracovia	33	11	10	12	+3	43
11	Jagiellonia	33	9	14	10	+1	41
12	Widzew Lodz	33	11	8	14	-6	41
13	Stal Mielec	33	10	10	13	-5	40
14	Slask Wroclaw	33	9	11	13	-11	38
15	Korona Kielce	33	10	8	15	-12	38
16	Wisla Plock	33	10	7	16	-6	37
17	Lechia Gdansk	33	8	6	19	-25	30
18	Legnica	33	4	10	19	-22	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	16	14	1	1	+31	43
2	Legia	16	11	5	0	+19	38
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	4	3	+6	31
4	Jagiellonia	17	8	4	5	+8	28
5	Wisla Plock	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Korona Kielce	17	8	3	6	+0	27
7	Cracovia	16	7	5	4	+10	26
8	Lech Poznan	16	8	2	6	+8	26
9	Slask Wroclaw	17	6	6	5	+0	24
10	Gornik Zabrze	17	6	5	6	+0	23
11	Warta Poznan	17	5	7	5	+3	22
12	Stal Mielec	16	5	7	4	+3	22
13	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	22
14	Radomiak Radom	17	5	4	8	-3	19
15	Lechia Gdansk	17	5	4	8	-7	19
16	Widzew Lodz	16	5	3	8	-3	18
17	Zaglebie	17	4	5	8	-7	17
18	Legnica	16	3	6	7	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	17	8	8	1	+12	32
2	Rakow	17	9	4	4	+8	31
3	Piast Gliwice	17	8	4	5	+4	28
4	Zaglebie	16	8	3	5	-2	27
5	Pogon Szczecin	17	7	5	5	+1	26
6	Radomiak Radom	16	7	4	5	+0	25
7	Legia	17	7	4	6	-1	25
8	Gornik Zabrze	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Warta Poznan	16	7	2	7	+0	23
10	Widzew Lodz	17	6	5	6	-3	23
11	Stal Mielec	17	5	3	9	-8	18
12	Cracovia	17	4	5	8	-7	17
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	16	1	10	5	-7	13
15	Korona Kielce	16	2	5	9	-12	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Wisla Plock	16	2	3	11	-13	9
18	Legnica	17	1	4	12	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.