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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Sturm Graz
S S S T U
1–3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

34% Possession 66%
14 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -23 PSV Eindhoven – Sturm Graz 4–1

Match report

Sturm Graz PSV Eindhoven
1–0 W. Bøving ⚽
A. Prass
26′
32′
⚽ J. Veerman 1–1
L. de Jong
39′
⚽ L. de Jong 1–2
J. Teze
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ Bryan Teixeira
59′
David Affengruber ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
60′
60′
🔁 G. Til
↦ J. Bakayoko
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
70′
T. Horvat 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
71′
Javi Serrano 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
71′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
71′
J. Jantscher 🔁
↦ A. Prass
80′
82′
ℹ️ Yorbe Vertessen
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Gregory Wüthrich 🟨
84′
85′
⚽ R. Pepi 1–3
86′
🔁 S. Sambo
↦ J. Teze
86′
🔁 I. Babadi
↦ Y. Vertessen
Javier Serrano 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Danté D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
17 Bryan Teixeira F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (12)
9 S. Włodarczyk
19 T. Horvat
14 Javi Serrano
2 M. Johnston
13 J. Jantscher
21 S. Stückler
33 J. Löcker
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić
29 M. Fuseini
28 D. Schnegg
40 M. Bignetti

Coach: C. Ilzer

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
30 P. van Aanholt D
23 J. Veerman M
6 I. Sangaré M
34 I. Saibari M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
32 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (10)
14 R. Pepi
20 G. Til
2 S. Sambo
26 I. Babadi
7 N. Lang
24 B. Waterman
29 P. Mwene
16 J. Drommel
21 A. El Ghazi
37 L. Comenencia

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.