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Bundesliga
Referee: D Pfister
Sturm Graz
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
LASK
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 53%
61%
45%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 66%
61%
71%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · LASK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 23 7 1 +45 76
2 Sturm Graz 31 19 6 6 +26 63
3 LASK 31 14 12 5 +18 54
4 A. Lustenau 32 11 10 11 -4 43
5 SK Rapid 31 12 6 13 +4 42
6 Austria Vienna 31 11 9 11 +3 42
7 Wolfsberger AC 32 12 6 14 +0 42
8 Tirol 32 10 8 14 -9 38
9 A. Klagenfurt 31 10 5 16 -19 35
10 Hartberg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
11 Altach 32 6 10 16 -24 28
12 Ried 32 4 11 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz LASK
1–0 J. Gazibegović
27′
2–0 A. Prass
M. Sarkaria
38′
Half-time 2–0
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
58′
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
59′
62′
🔁 I. Mustapha
↦ B. Jovičić
62′
🔁 K. Nakamura
↦ T. Goiginger
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
73′
D. Schnegg 🔁
↦ A. Danté
74′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
75′
81′
🔁 S. Radulovic
↦ M. Usor
J. Jantscher 🔁
↦ Bryan Teixeira
82′
David Schnegg 🟨
85′
88′
🟨 Peter Michorl
Emanuel Emegha 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Sascha Horvath
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Danté D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
17 Bryan Teixeira F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
20 E. Emegha
15 W. Bøving
28 D. Schnegg
25 S. Hierländer
13 J. Jantscher
1 A. Okonkwo
35 N. Geyrhofer

Coach: C. Ilzer

LASK

4-2-3-1
24 T. Lawal G
29 F. Flecker D
5 P. Ziereis D
21 M. Talovierov D
7 R. Renner D
18 B. Jovičić M
8 P. Michorl M
17 M. Usor M
30 S. Horvath M
27 T. Goiginger M
11 M. Ljubičić F
Bench (6)
23 I. Mustapha
38 K. Nakamura
46 S. Radulovic
3 Á. Kecskés
37 L. Jungwirth
33 F. Luckeneder

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Pfister · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.