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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Austria Vienna
T U U S S
0–3
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -23 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 1–2 26. Apr -23 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 3–2 12. Mar -23 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 3–1 2. Oct -22 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 0–3 21. May -22 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 4–2

Match report

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
9′
⚽ J. Gazibegović 0–1
15′
🟨 Alexander Prass
Marvin Martins 🟥
33′
Marvin Martins ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
33′
38′
⚽ S. Włodarczyk 0–2
M. Sarkaria
Half-time 0–2
A. Gruber 🔁
↦ J. Holland
46′
M. Polster 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
46′
60′
⚽ D. Affengruber 0–3
M. Sarkaria
65′
🔁 W. Bøving
↦ A. Prass
65′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ S. Włodarczyk
71′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
71′
ℹ️ David Affengruber
VAR: Penalty cancelled
72′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ O. Kiteishvili
74′
🟨 Manprit Sarkaria
M. Meisl 🔁
↦ Lucas Galvão
74′
A. Jukić 🔁
↦ M. Fischer
74′
79′
🟨 William Bøving
82′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ M. Sarkaria
82′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ D. Schnegg
M. Husković 🔁
↦ H. Tabaković
83′
Aleksandar Jukić 🟨
87′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-3
1 C. Früchtl G
46 J. Handl D
66 M. Martins D
3 Lucas Galvão D
26 R. Ranftl M
8 J. Holland M
23 M. Braunöder M
19 M. Potzmann M
30 M. Fischer F
25 H. Tabaković F
36 D. Fitz F
Bench (7)
17 A. Gruber
11 M. Polster
40 M. Meisl
77 A. Jukić
9 M. Husković
24 T. Plavotić
99 M. Kos

Coach: M. Wimmer

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
9 S. Włodarczyk F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
15 W. Bøving
17 Bryan Teixeira
19 T. Horvat
35 N. Geyrhofer
44 A. Dante
31 L. Marić
29 M. Fuseini

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.