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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
PSV Eindhoven
T S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Dortmund
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
70%
17%
Both score Ø 57%
80%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,58 xG 0,86
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Dortmund
Hirving Lozano 🟨
22′
24′
⚽ D. Malen 0–1
M. Sabitzer
42′
🟨 Ian Maatsen
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Nico Schlotterbeck
1–1 L. de Jong ⚽
56′
62′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ M. Reus
68′
🔁 M. Wolf
↦ J. Sancho
R. Pepi 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
75′
82′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ N. Füllkrug
82′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ D. Malen
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
83′
A. Obispo 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
22 J. Schouten D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
10 M. Tillman M
23 J. Veerman M
34 I. Saibari M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
27 H. Lozano F
Bench (9)
14 R. Pepi
17 Mauro Júnior
4 A. Obispo
30 P. van Aanholt
5 André Ramalho
2 S. Sambo
24 B. Waterman
26 I. Babadi
16 J. Drommel

Coach: P. Bosz

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
33 A. Meyer G
26 J. Ryerson D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
22 I. Maatsen D
20 M. Sabitzer M
23 E. Can M
21 D. Malen M
11 M. Reus M
10 J. Sancho M
14 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (10)
19 J. Brandt
17 M. Wolf
18 Y. Moukoko
6 S. Özcan
48 S. Bamba
38 K. Wätjen
35 M. Lotka
5 R. Bensebaïni
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
16 J. Duranville

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.