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KNVB Beker
Referee: D Higler
Feyenoord
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 41. · PSV Eindhoven 38.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Quick Boys 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 RKAV Volendam 4 3 0 1 +9 9
4 Nijmegen 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Groningen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
6 DEM 4 3 0 1 +4 9
7 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 For Sittard 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Vitesse 3 3 0 0 +3 9
10 Excelsior Maassluis 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 0 1 +8 6
12 Almere City 3 2 0 1 +7 6
13 Cambuur 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
15 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Spakenburg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
19 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 AFC Amsterdam 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 De Treffers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +0 6
23 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
24 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
25 GVVV Veenendaal 3 2 0 1 -1 6
26 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
27 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Katwijk 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Heerenveen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
35 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 HHC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dordrecht 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
60 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Twente 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
110 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
1–0 Q. Timber
Q. Hartman
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. van Aanholt
↦ André Ramalho
46′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ M. Tillman
61′
🔁 N. Lang
↦ H. Lozano
Mats Wieffer 🟨
63′
68′
🟨 Noa Lang
J. Dilrosun 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
72′
82′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
82′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ J. Bakayoko
85′
🟨 Guus Til
Quinten Timber 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Jerdy Schouten
O. Lingr 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
89′
Santiago Giménez 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
4 L. Geertruida D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
10 C. Stengs M
8 Q. Timber M
2 B. Nieuwkoop F
29 S. Giménez F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (10)
11 J. Dilrosun
32 O. Lingr
15 M. López
22 T. Wellenreuther
16 T. van den Belt
31 K. Lamprou
3 T. Beelen
25 L. Sauer
27 A. Milambo
17 L. Ivanušec

Coach: A. Slot

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
20 G. Til M
22 J. Schouten M
10 M. Tillman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
27 H. Lozano F
Bench (10)
30 P. van Aanholt
17 Mauro Júnior
7 N. Lang
14 R. Pepi
32 Y. Vertessen
31 T. Land
2 S. Sambo
4 A. Obispo
1 W. Benítez
24 B. Waterman

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.