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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
Man City
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 69%
100%
38%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
100%
46%
Both score Ø 70%
86%
54%
Average goals
4,1
3,1
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

0,77 xG 1,23
69% Possession 31%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -24 FC Copenhagen – Man City 1–3 11. Oct -22 FC Copenhagen – Man City 0–0 5. Oct -22 Man City – FC Copenhagen 5–0

Match report

Man City FC Copenhagen
1–0 M. Akanji ⚽
J. Álvarez
5′
2–0 J. Álvarez ⚽
9′
29′
⚽ M. Elyounoussi 2–1
O. Óskarsson
Half-time 2–1
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ Rodri
46′
3–1 E. Haaland ⚽
Rodri
48′
58′
🔁 R. Bardghji
↦ E. Achouri
58′
🔁 M. Mattsson
↦ V. Froholdt
J. Stones 🔁
↦ Rúben Dias
68′
68′
🔁 O. Højlund
↦ W. Clem
69′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ O. Óskarsson
M. Hamilton 🔁
↦ Matheus Nunes
74′
78′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ E. Jelert
84′
🟨 Andreas Cornelius
J. Wright 🔁
↦ E. Haaland
88′
90′
🟨 Magnus Mattsson
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
82 R. Lewis D
25 M. Akanji D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
16 Rodri M
8 M. Kovačić M
27 Matheus Nunes M
52 O. Bobb M
19 J. Álvarez M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (12)
21 Sergio Gómez
5 J. Stones
92 M. Hamilton
56 J. Wright
2 K. Walker
33 S. Carson
76 Mahamadou Susoho
6 N. Aké
47 P. Foden
17 K. De Bruyne
20 Bernardo Silva
18 S. Ortega

Coach: Pep Guardiola

FC Copenhagen

3-4-2-1
1 K. Grabara G
3 D. Vavro D
2 K. Diks D
26 S. McKenna D
22 P. Ankersen M
36 W. Clem M
10 M. Elyounoussi M
19 E. Jelert M
47 V. Froholdt F
30 E. Achouri F
18 O. Óskarsson F
Bench (10)
40 R. Bardghji
8 M. Mattsson
39 O. Højlund
14 A. Cornelius
24 B. Meling
11 J. Larsson
6 C. Sørensen
20 N. Boilesen
31 R. Rúnarsson
61 O. Buur

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.