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Champions League
Referee: D Rumšas
Man City
U S S S S
5–0
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,5
1,8
Scored
3,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-0,5
This season — Champions League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
3,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

75% Possession 25%
30 Shots 2
16 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 12
7 Corners 1
7 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man City FC Copenhagen
1–0 E. Haaland
7′
2–0 E. Haaland
32′
2–1 D. Khocholava
own goal
39′
Half-time 2–1
C. Palmer 🔁
↦ E. Haaland
46′
46′
🔁 V. Lund Jensen
↦ M. Karamoko
54′
🟨 Marko Stamenić
3–1 R. Mahrez
55′
56′
🔁 H. Haraldsson
↦ M. Daramy
R. Lewis 🔁
↦ João Cancelo
57′
J. Wilson-Esbrand 🔁
↦ Bernardo Silva
66′
66′
🔁 P. Ankersen
↦ K. Diks
66′
🔁 P. Mukairu
↦ V. Claesson
4–1 J. Álvarez
R. Mahrez
76′
79′
🔁 C. Sørensen
↦ L. Lerager
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Man City

4-4-2
31 Ederson G
7 João Cancelo D
3 Rúben Dias D
14 Aymeric Laporte D
21 Sergio Gómez D
26 R. Mahrez M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
20 Bernardo Silva M
10 J. Grealish M
9 E. Haaland F
19 J. Álvarez F
Bench (10)
80 C. Palmer
82 R. Lewis
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
18 S. Ortega
6 N. Aké
16 Rodri
47 P. Foden
17 K. De Bruyne
33 S. Carson
25 M. Akanji

Coach: Pep Guardiola

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
2 K. Diks D
3 D. Vavro D
5 D. Khocholava D
34 V. Kristiansen D
35 M. Stamenic M
12 L. Lerager M
7 V. Claesson M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson F
29 M. Karamoko F
15 M. Daramy F
Bench (11)
27 V. Lund Jensen
30 H. Haraldsson
22 P. Ankersen
17 P. Mukairu
6 C. Sørensen
40 R. Bardghji
14 A. Cornelius
51 M. Ryan
19 E. Jelert
21 K. Johnsson
11 K. Babacar

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.