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Champions League
Referee: E Hamiti
Ludogorets
S U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Dinamo Minsk
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Dinamo Minsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
0,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ludogorets Dinamo Minsk
1–0 B. Tekpetey ⚽
J. Piotrowski
9′
18′
🟨 Aleksei Gavrilovich
20′
🟨 Aleksandr Selyava
24′
🟨 Vadim Pigas
Anton Nedyalkov 🟨
36′
41′
🟨 Trofim Melnichenko
44′
🟨 Sergei Politevich
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Nedelev ⚽
46′
46′
🔁 R. Adeola
↦ G. Zherdev
53′
🔁 Pedro Igor
↦ D. Podstrelov
53′
🔁 S. Alfred
↦ I. Shkolik
Olivier Verdon 🟨
56′
M. Tissera 🔁
↦ Rwan Cruz
62′
Caio Vidal 🔁
↦ Rick
74′
S. Delev 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
78′
Deroy Duarte 🔁
↦ T. Nedelev
78′
Caio Vidal 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 V. Khvashchinskiy
↦ T. Melnichenko
87′
🔁 A. Bykov
↦ A. Selyava
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
24 O. Verdon D
4 Dinis Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
18 I. Chochev M
8 T. Nedelev M
6 J. Piotrowski M
37 B. Tekpetey M
12 Rwan Cruz F
7 Rick M
Bench (11)
10 M. Tissera
11 Caio Vidal
90 S. Delev
23 Deroy Duarte
67 D. Hristov
26 N. Sonko Sundberg
39 H. Bonmann
82 I. Yordanov
30 Pedro Naressi
15 E. Kurtulus
17 Son

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Dinamo Minsk

4-3-3
21 F. Lapoukhov G
2 V. Pigas D
6 S. Politevich D
4 A. Gavrilovich D
66 Raí Lopes D
80 I. Shkolik M
8 A. Selyava M
88 N. Demchenko M
19 D. Podstrelov M
81 T. Melnichenko
11 G. Zherdev F
Bench (12)
14 R. Adeola
25 Pedro Igor
9 S. Alfred
10 V. Khvashchinskiy
7 A. Bykov
29 B. Amian
26 V. Kalinin
74 P. Sedko
99 A. Sokolovskiy
17 I. Bakhar
5 P. Apetenok
13 I. Shimakovich

Coach: V. Skripchenko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.