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Conference League
Referee: O Hațegan
Ludogorets
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
80%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
44%
Average goals
4,2
3,4
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,26 xG 1,12
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Nordsjaelland – Ludogorets 7–1

Match report

Ludogorets Nordsjaelland
Bernard Tekpetey 🟨
6′
17′
🟨 Benjamin Nygren
Noah Sonko Sundberg 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
I. Yordanov 🔁
↦ Claude Gonçalves
46′
Rwan Cruz 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
46′
48′
🟨 Martin Frese
M. Tissera 🔁
↦ Pedro Naressi
72′
76′
🔁 I. Osman
↦ A. Schjelderup
76′
🔁 J. Jensen-Abbew
↦ C. Rasmussen
1–0 J. Piotrowski ⚽
A. Witry
79′
82′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ D. Svensson
Matías Tissera 🟨
83′
G. Terziev 🔁
↦ A. Witry
86′
88′
🔁 E. Marxen
↦ L. Hey
Spas Delev 🟨
97′
Ivan Yordanov 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
26 N. Sonko Sundberg D
24 O. Verdon D
17 Son D
30 Pedro Naressi M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
37 B. Tekpetey M
6 J. Piotrowski M
90 S. Delev M
9 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
82 I. Yordanov
99 Rwan Cruz
10 M. Tissera
5 G. Terziev
67 D. Hristov
88 T. Nedelev
69 P. Pepelyashev
22 F. Russo
64 D. Yankov

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
19 L. Hey D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
9 B. Nygren M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
17 C. Rasmussen F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
8 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (12)
14 I. Osman
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
40 C. Harder
15 E. Marxen
21 Z. Sertdemir
25 C. Eriksson
42 K. Barslund
23 O. Villadsen
31 A. Gülstorff
43 S. Egeli
12 R. Ascone
24 L. Høgsberg

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.