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Conference League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Ludogorets
T S S S U
0–1
Full-time
Servette
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 29%
57%
0%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
57%
0%
Both score Ø 22%
43%
0%
Average goals
3,1
0,0
Scored
1,6
0,0
Conceded
1,6
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,25 xG 0,87
64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -24 Servette – Ludogorets 0–0

Match report

Ludogorets Servette
5′
🟨 Timothé Cognat
6′
T. Cognat 0–1
Caio Vidal 🟨
13′
31′
🟨 Bendegúz Bolla
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Bradley Mazikou
56′
🔁 G. Ondoua
↦ B. Bolla
Rwan Cruz 🔁
↦ Claude Gonçalves
66′
Rick 🔁
↦ Caio Vidal
74′
Jakub Piotrowski 🟨
77′
M. Tissera 🔁
↦ Pedro Naressi
84′
84′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ T. Cognat
Son 🟨
89′
93′
🔁 A. Baron
↦ A. Antunes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
26 N. Sonko Sundberg D
24 O. Verdon D
17 Son D
30 Pedro Naressi M
6 J. Piotrowski M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
37 B. Tekpetey F
9 K. Duah F
77 Caio Vidal F
Bench (10)
99 Rwan Cruz
7 Rick
10 M. Tissera
5 G. Terziev
88 T. Nedelev
12 S. Sluga
67 D. Hristov
90 S. Delev
4 Dinis Almeida
14 D. Gropper

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Servette

4-4-2
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanović M
20 T. Magnin M
8 T. Cognat M
77 B. Bolla M
27 E. Crivelli F
10 A. Antunes F
Bench (8)
5 G. Ondoua
17 D. Kutesa
6 A. Baron
31 T. Ouattara
1 J. Mall
21 J. Guillemenot
30 S. Diba
44 L. Besson

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.