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Champions League
Referee: R Hennessy
Midtjylland
U U U S U
1–0
Full-time
UE Santa Coloma
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland UE Santa Coloma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
83%
80%
Both score Ø 72%
83%
60%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -24 UE Santa Coloma – Midtjylland 0–3

Match report

Midtjylland UE Santa Coloma
13′
🟨 Franco de Jesús
22′
🟨 Pablo Pérez
Half-time 0–0
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ E. Chilufya
46′
47′
🟨 Pablo Pérez
47′
🟥 Pablo Pérez
51′
🔁 Marcos Blasco
↦ Bilal El Bakkali
A. Rømer 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
55′
A. Şimşir 🔁
↦ K. Askildsen
55′
56′
🟨 Adrián Gomes
58′
🟨 Youssef El Ghazoui
Adam Gabriel 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 David Virgili
↦ Álex Gómez
61′
🔁 Víctor Tellado
↦ F. de Jesús
1–0 D. Osorio ⚽
Franculino Djú
72′
76′
🔁 Jorge Bolívar
↦ Youssef El Ghazoui
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
77′
J. Andersson 🔁
↦ Juninho
77′
77′
🔁 Álex Martínez
↦ Joaquinete
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
13 A. Gabriel D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech D
73 Juninho D
11 D. Osorio M
21 D. Castillo M
17 K. Askildsen M
9 O. Brynhildsen M
18 A. Buksa F
14 E. Chilufya F
Bench (12)
7 Franculino Djú
2 A. Rømer
58 A. Şimşir
20 V. Byskov
6 J. Andersson
4 O. Diao
31 L. Selin
19 P. Bravo
16 E. Ólafsson
5 E. Martínez
24 O. Sørensen
45 A. Kamara

Coach: T. Thomasberg

UE Santa Coloma

4-4-2
13 Á. Ruíz G
5 Miguel López D
15 Pablo Pérez D
48 Chete D
17 Dacu D
11 Joaquinete M
6 Youssef El Ghazoui M
8 Andrés Mohedano M
18 Álex Gómez M
27 Bilal El Bakkali F
23 F. de Jesús F
Bench (8)
3 Marcos Blasco
22 David Virgili
9 Víctor Tellado
7 Jorge Bolívar
16 Álex Martínez
1 Juanpe Navarro
32 João Cabral
10 Modric

Coach: Boris Codina

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.