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Champions League
Referee: I Frid
Dinamo Minsk
U T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Ludogorets
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Minsk Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -24 Ludogorets – Dinamo Minsk 2–0

Match report

Dinamo Minsk Ludogorets
Vladislav Kalinin 🟨
21′
1–0 I. Bakhar ⚽
T. Melnichenko
37′
Aleksandr Selyava 🟨
41′
Nikita Demchenko 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Pedro Naressi
↦ T. Nedelev
46′
🔁 K. Duah
↦ Rwan Cruz
Pedro Igor 🔁
↦ I. Bakhar
62′
71′
🔁 Caio Vidal
↦ B. Tekpetey
Pavel Sedko 🟨
75′
R. Adeola 🔁
↦ P. Sedko
77′
Trofim Melnichenko 🟨
84′
V. Khvashchinskiy 🔁
↦ T. Melnichenko
85′
92′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ Rick
93′
🟨 Hendrik Bonmann
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dinamo Minsk

4-3-3
21 F. Lapoukhov G
7 A. Bykov M
26 V. Kalinin D
4 A. Gavrilovich D
66 Raí Lopes D
74 P. Sedko M
8 A. Selyava M
88 N. Demchenko M
81 T. Melnichenko
9 S. Alfred F
17 I. Bakhar F
Bench (12)
25 Pedro Igor
14 R. Adeola
10 V. Khvashchinskiy
13 I. Shimakovich
27 M. Mikhayrin
5 P. Apetenok
80 I. Shkolik
99 A. Sokolovskiy
29 B. Amian
11 G. Zherdev
19 D. Podstrelov
49 A. Karatay

Coach: V. Skripchenko

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
16 A. Witry D
24 O. Verdon D
4 Dinis Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
18 I. Chochev M
8 T. Nedelev M
6 J. Piotrowski M
37 B. Tekpetey M
12 Rwan Cruz F
7 Rick M
Bench (11)
30 Pedro Naressi
9 K. Duah
11 Caio Vidal
90 S. Delev
15 E. Kurtulus
82 I. Yordanov
17 Son
26 N. Sonko Sundberg
10 M. Tissera
23 Deroy Duarte
67 D. Hristov

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Frid · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.