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Champions League
Referee: V Fotias
Jagiellonia
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Panevėžys
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Panevėžys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
4,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+4,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Jagiellonia Panevėžys
1–0 Afimico Pululu
12′
Half-time 1–0
Nené 🔁
↦ Jesús Imaz
61′
A. Nguiamba 🔁
↦ T. Romanczuk
61′
D. Stojinović 🔁
↦ M. Sáček
62′
62′
🔁 J. Sarpong
↦ E. Veliulis
62′
🔁 F. Palacios
↦ Lucas de Vega
69′
🟨 Kaspars Dubra
2–0 Afimico Pululu
69′
70′
🔁 M. Beneta
↦ R. Mazáň
70′
🔁 S. Gussiås
↦ N. Mbo
Miki Villar 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
72′
J. Lewicki 🔁
↦ João Moutinho
72′
78′
🔁 M. Cacutalua
↦ K. Dubra
2–1 M. Beneta
own goal
84′
87′
S. Gussiås 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-4-1-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
44 João Moutinho D
7 D. Marczuk M
14 J. Kubicki M
6 T. Romanczuk M
99 K. Hansen M
11 Jesús Imaz M
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (11)
8 Nené
39 A. Nguiamba
3 D. Stojinović
20 Miki Villar
36 J. Lewicki
4 J. Haliti
1 M. Stryjek
77 W. Łaski
51 A. Rybak
19 P. Olszewski
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Panevėžys

4-2-3-1
1 V. Černiauskas G
32 R. Rasimavičius D
4 K. Dubra D
2 L. Klimavičius D
72 R. Mazáň D
20 J. Čađenović M
5 N. Gorobsov M
7 E. Veliulis M
10 Lucas de Vega M
21 C. Dieng F
36 N. Mbo F
Bench (10)
23 J. Sarpong
31 F. Palacios
29 M. Beneta
28 S. Gussiås
15 M. Cacutalua
25 D. Vaičekauskas
17 N. Lukšys
22 E. Tîmbur
13 D. Bukel
97 A. Karvatskyi

Coach: S. Vreven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.