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Champions League
Referee: Gil Manzano
Malmo FF
T U S S S
0–2
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
5,3
3,8
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Sparta Praha
Busanello 🟨
11′
30′
⚽ J. Stryger Larsen 1–0
own goal
Sergio Peña 🟨
34′
40′
🟨 Victor Olatunji
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 J. Kuchta
↦ V. Olatunji
62′
🟨 Qazim Laci
A. Christiansen 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
64′
T. Ali 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
64′
68′
🔁 L. Sadílek
↦ Q. Laçi
68′
🔁 T. Wiesner
↦ Á. Preciado
Anders Christiansen 🟨
69′
82′
🔁 J. Zelený
↦ M. Vitík
83′
🔁 J. Pešek
↦ L. Haraslín
85′
🟨 Jakub Pešek
88′
⚽ M. Ryneš 1–1
A. Sørensen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-4-2
27 J. Dahlin G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
18 P. Jansson D
35 N. Zätterström D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
38 H. Bolin M
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
11 S. Nanasi M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (12)
10 A. Christiansen
22 T. Ali
7 O. Rosengren
1 Ricardo Friedrich
34 Z. Loukili
5 S. Rieks
16 O. Berg
30 J. Persson
29 S. Hakšabanović
14 S. Jørgensen
13 M. Olsson
19 C. Rösler

Coach: H. Rydström

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
25 A. Sørensen D
17 Á. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
32 M. Ryneš M
14 V. Birmančević F
7 V. Olatunji F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
9 J. Kuchta
18 L. Sadílek
28 T. Wiesner
30 J. Zelený
21 J. Pešek
29 E. Krasniqi
13 K. Daněk
11 I. Tuci
5 M. Ross
4 M. Solbakken
24 V. Vorel
2 M. Suchomel

Coach: L. Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gil Manzano · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.