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Champions League
Referee: J Beaton
Malmo FF
T S S T T
2–2
Full-time
PAOK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF PAOK
1–0 P. Jansson ⚽
S. Nanasi
28′
42′
⚽ Taison 1–1
M. Ozdoev
Half-time 1–1
Hugo Bolin 🟨
49′
Erik Botheim 🟨
52′
A. Christiansen 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
66′
2–1 S. Nanasi ⚽
67′
69′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ Brandon Thomas
70′
🟨 Abdul Rahman Baba
72′
🟨 Joan Sastre
73′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ S. Schwab
73′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ A. Živković
75′
⚽ A. Baba 2–2
K. Koulierakis
T. Ali 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
83′
83′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ G. Konstantelias
84′
🟨 Mady Camara
Sebastian Nanasi 🟨
87′
92′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
O. Berg 🔁
↦ S. Peña
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-4-2
27 J. Dahlin G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
18 P. Jansson D
35 N. Zätterström D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
38 H. Bolin M
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
11 S. Nanasi M
20 E. Botheim F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (12)
10 A. Christiansen
22 T. Ali
16 O. Berg
7 O. Rosengren
29 S. Hakšabanović
33 E. Makolli
34 Z. Loukili
13 M. Olsson
1 Ricardo Friedrich
5 S. Rieks
30 J. Persson
14 S. Jørgensen

Coach: H. Rydström

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (11)
34 T. Tissoudali
2 M. Camara
77 K. Despodov
10 T. Murg
9 F. Chalov
20 Vieirinha
25 K. Thymianis
5 G. Michailidis
15 W. Troost-Ekong
99 A. Tsiftsis
6 T. Tsingaras

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.