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Svenska Cupen

Referee: M Al Hakim

Karlberg

T T U

2–1

Full-time

Ostersunds FK

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlberg Ostersunds FK

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stockholm Internazionale	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Huddinge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Götaholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Enskede	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
41	Haga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddinge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Götaholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Enskede	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Haga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
39	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlberg Ostersunds FK

1–0 M. Sandberg ⚽

22′

Half-time 1–0

58′

🟨 Arquimides Ordonez

58′

🔁 S. Karlsson Grach

↦ A. Ordóñez

58′

🔁 S. Marklund

↦ A. Bonnah

70′

🔁 C. N'Sa

↦ J. Hedenquist

70′

🔁 J. Hopcutt

↦ N. Perry

73′

🔁 P. Bonde

↦ Ziad Ghanoum

A. Muyenga 🔁

↦ A. Khan

76′

K. Dudziak 🔁

↦ T. Silva Sanchez

77′

A. Lundgren 🔁

↦ A. Kärki

84′

A. Wiorek 🔁

↦ M. Sandberg

84′

K. Ward 🔁

↦ I. Okur

87′

A. Hamidi 🟨

91′

92′

⚽ C. N'Sa 1–1

2–1 K. Dudziak ⚽

102′

K. Dudziak 🟨

103′

K. Koc 🔁

↦ A. Karlsson

106′

🔁 H. Norrby

↦ Erick Brendon

M. Mbye 🟨

115′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karlberg

C. Alpek

J. Westerberg

A. Martiatu Nordeman

A. Karlsson

A. Kärki

M. Mbye

A. Hamidi

I. Okur

T. Silva Sanchez

M. Sandberg

A. Khan

Bench (7)

A. Muyenga

K. Dudziak

A. Lundgren

A. Wiorek

K. Ward

K. Koc

J. Wallberg

Coach: B. Coskun

Ostersunds FK

A. Benediktsson

A. Suljić

J. Hedenquist

Ziad Ghanoum

Erick Brendon

M. Musolitin

N. Perry

A. Bonnah

A. Sporrong

Y. Adjoumani

A. Ordóñez

Bench (8)

S. Karlsson Grach

S. Marklund

C. N'Sa

J. Hopcutt

P. Bonde

H. Norrby

C. Lundhall

M. Oluwayemi

Coach: M. Powell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

5. Jun CUP 2 years ago

28. Jun CUP 3 years ago

Karlberg

Stockholm Internazionale

2. Jul CUP 4 years ago

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Karlberg

Ostersunds FK

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee