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Champions League
Referee: N Dabanović
Liverpool
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Bologna
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
0,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,21 xG 0,59
51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Liverpool Bologna
1–0 A. Mac Allister ⚽
Mohamed Salah
11′
Virgil van Dijk 🟨
26′
Ibrahima Konaté 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Sam Beukema
Half-time 1–0
Andrew Robertson 🟨
55′
Diogo Jota 🔁
↦ D. Núñez
61′
61′
🔁 M. Aebischer
↦ K. Urbański
62′
🔁 N. Casale
↦ S. Beukema
67′
🟨 Michel Aebischer
K. Tsimikas 🔁
↦ A. Robertson
72′
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ L. Díaz
72′
2–0 Mohamed Salah ⚽
D. Szoboszlai
75′
79′
🔁 S. Castro
↦ T. Dallinga
79′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ D. Ndoye
84′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ R. Freuler
C. Bradley 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
85′
C. Jones 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
86′
Konstantinos Tsimikas 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 Mohamed Salah M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
7 L. Díaz M
9 D. Núñez F
Bench (12)
20 Diogo Jota
21 K. Tsimikas
18 C. Gakpo
84 C. Bradley
17 C. Jones
98 T. Nyoni
62 C. Kelleher
2 J. Gomez
3 W. Endō
80 T. Morton
78 J. Quansah
56 V. Jaroš

Coach: A. Slot

Bologna

4-1-4-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
3 S. Posch D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
33 Juan Miranda D
8 R. Freuler M
7 R. Orsolini M
82 K. Urbański M
6 N. Moro M
11 D. Ndoye M
24 T. Dallinga F
Bench (12)
20 M. Aebischer
15 N. Casale
9 S. Castro
14 S. Iling-Junior
80 G. Fabbian
21 J. Odgaard
23 N. Bagnolini
16 T. Corazza
22 C. Lykogiannis
34 F. Ravaglia
5 M. Erlić
2 E. Holm

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.