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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Bayern Munich
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Celtic
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,9
3,3
Scored
2,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,33 xG 1,12
67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 0
2 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich Celtic
Half-time 0–0
K. Coman 🔁
↦ H. Kane
46′
60′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ Jota
63′
N. Kühn 0–1
A. Davies 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
64′
L. Sané 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
64′
69′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ N. Kühn
1–1 A. Davies
94′
T. Müller 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
44 J. Stanišić D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
22 Raphaël Guerreiro D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
17 M. Olise M
42 J. Musiala M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (12)
11 K. Coman
19 A. Davies
10 L. Sané
25 T. Müller
23 S. Boey
40 J. Urbig
16 João Palhinha
24 G. Vidović
15 E. Dier
27 K. Laimer
45 A. Pavlović
21 H. Ito

Coach: V. Kompany

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 A. Trusty D
15 J. Schlupp D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
38 D. Maeda F
7 Jota F
Bench (12)
9 A. Idah
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
29 S. Bain
17 M. Nawrocki
59 J. Bonnar
5 L. Scales
14 L. McCowan
47 D. Murray
56 A. Ralston
12 V. Sinisalo
24 J. Kenny
3 G. Taylor

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.