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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Atalanta
U T S T U
1–3
Full-time
Club Brugge
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

3,28 xG 1,15
65% Possession 35%
30 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
14 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Feb -25 Club Brugge – Atalanta 2–1

Match report

Atalanta Club Brugge
3′
⚽ C. Talbi 0–1
Ferran Jutglà
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
11′
27′
⚽ C. Talbi 0–2
36′
🟨 Raphael Onyedika
Half-time 0–2
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
46′
1–2 A. Lookman ⚽
D. Zappacosta
46′
48′
⚽ Ferran Jutglà 1–3
C. Tzolis
54′
🔁 H. Siquet
↦ C. Talbi
Juan Cuadrado ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
59′
60′
🟨 Christos Tzolis
Ademola Lookman ❌
penalty missed
61′
R. Bellanova 🔁
↦ J. Cuadrado
75′
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ M. Retegui
75′
75′
🔁 C. Nielsen
↦ C. Tzolis
S. Posch 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
77′
Berat Djimsiti 🟨
80′
M. Brescianini 🔁
↦ Éderson
83′
86′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ Ferran Jutglà
Marten de Roon 🟨
87′
Rafael Tolói 🟥
87′
87′
🟨 Gustaf Nilsson
87′
🟨 Maxim De Cuyper
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
29 M. Carnesecchi G
2 R. Tolói D
19 B. Djimsiti D
23 S. Kolašinac D
7 J. Cuadrado M
13 Éderson M
15 M. de Roon M
77 D. Zappacosta M
8 M. Pašalić F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (12)
11 A. Lookman
16 R. Bellanova
24 L. Samardžić
5 S. Posch
44 M. Brescianini
22 M. Ruggeri
31 F. Rossi
28 Rui Patrício
27 M. Palestra
48 V. Vlahović
6 I. Sulemana
25 F. Cassa

Coach: G. Gasperini

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
68 C. Talbi M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (10)
41 H. Siquet
27 C. Nielsen
19 G. Nilsson
64 K. Sabbe
58 J. Spileers
21 M. Skóraś
17 R. Vermant
2 Z. Romero
10 H. Vetlesen
29 N. Jackers

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.