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Champions League
Referee: Gil Manzano
Celtic
U S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,2
Scored
3,2
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,4
4,0
Scored
1,6
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,34 xG 0,94
43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
4 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celtic Bayern Munich
45′
⚽ M. Olise 0–1
Half-time 0–2
49′
⚽ H. Kane 0–2
J. Kimmich
Arne Engels ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
56′
Jota 🔁
↦ A. Idah
65′
J. Schlupp 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
65′
65′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ L. Sané
65′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ M. Olise
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
77′
78′
🔁 H. Ito
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
1–2 D. Maeda ⚽
Yang Hyun-Jun
79′
87′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ J. Musiala
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 A. Trusty D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (11)
7 Jota
15 J. Schlupp
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
56 A. Ralston
47 D. Murray
24 J. Kenny
17 M. Nawrocki
5 L. Scales
14 L. McCowan
29 S. Bain
12 V. Sinisalo

Coach: B. Rodgers

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
15 E. Dier D
22 Raphaël Guerreiro D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
17 M. Olise M
42 J. Musiala M
10 L. Sané M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (12)
11 K. Coman
7 S. Gnabry
21 H. Ito
25 T. Müller
26 S. Ulreich
45 A. Pavlović
40 J. Urbig
23 S. Boey
24 G. Vidović
44 J. Stanišić
3 Kim Min-Jae
28 T. Buchmann

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gil Manzano · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.