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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Paris SG
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,7
Scored
4,2
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 74%
60%
88%
Points per game
1,9
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 39%
40%
38%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,4
2,1
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,82 xG 0,27
71% Possession 29%
27 Shots 2
10 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
14 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Liverpool
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
Marquinhos 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
D. Doué 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
66′
67′
🔁 D. Núñez
↦ Diogo Jota
67′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ L. Díaz
70′
🟨 Virgil van Dijk
W. Zaïre-Emery 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
78′
Gonçalo Ramos 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
78′
79′
🔁 W. Endō
↦ R. Gravenberch
86′
🔁 H. Elliott
↦ Mohamed Salah
87′
⚽ H. Elliott 0–1
D. Núñez
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
10 O. Dembélé F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (11)
14 D. Doué
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
9 Gonçalo Ramos
3 P. Kimpembe
39 M. Safonov
80 Arnau Tenas
49 I. Mbaye
19 Lee Kang-In
24 S. Mayulu
35 Beraldo
21 L. Hernández

Coach: Luis Enrique

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 Mohamed Salah M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
7 L. Díaz M
20 Diogo Jota F
Bench (11)
9 D. Núñez
17 C. Jones
3 W. Endō
19 H. Elliott
21 K. Tsimikas
78 J. Quansah
53 J. McConnell
56 V. Jaroš
98 T. Nyoni
14 F. Chiesa
62 C. Kelleher

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.