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Champions League
Referee: M Marchetti
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Kairat Almaty Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0 Jorginho
L. Mata
5′
Edmilson 🟨
10′
2–0 A. Mrynskiy
Jorginho
31′
39′
🔁 D. Mitrovski
↦ M. Brest
39′
🔁 I. Durdov
↦ D. Pinto
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Dino Kojić
56′
🔁 A. Marin
↦ D. Kojic
Egor Sorokin 🟨
60′
G. Zaria 🔁
↦ D. Satpaev
61′
J. Stanojev 🔁
↦ A. Mrynskiy
61′
V. Gromyko 🔁
↦ Edmilson
70′
Giorgi Zaria 🟨
72′
Dan Glazer 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 J. Urbancic
↦ A. Blanco
78′
🔁 M. Pedreno
↦ A. Tamm
A. Sadybekov 🔁
↦ D. Glazer
83′
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Jorginho
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-3-3
1 A. Zarutskiy G
24 A. Mrynskiy D
14 A. Martynovich D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
20 E. Tapalov D
18 D. Glazer M
4 D. Kasabulat M
7 Jorginho M
26 Edmilson F
9 D. Satpaev F
Bench (12)
77 T. Anarbekov
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
15 O. Arad
25 A. Shirobokov
33 J. Stanojev
44 L. Gadrani
55 V. Gromyko
59 D. Tashpulatov
81 I. Bekbolat
89 R. Bagdat
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Olimpija Ljubljana

36 G. Fink G
28 Diga D
4 V. Jelenkovic D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
11 A. Blanco M
23 D. Pinto M
6 P. Agba M
34 A. Doffo M
9 D. Kojic M
24 A. Tamm F
18 M. Brest M
Bench (9)
52 M. Dajcar
3 J. Urbancic
10 D. Mitrovski
19 I. Durdov
21 M. Pedreno
27 F. Ananou
30 J. Gorenc
45 M. Acimovic
99 A. Marin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.