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Champions League
Referee: R Lissorgue
Malmo FF
S U U S S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF FC Iberia 1999
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Malmo FF FC Iberia 1999
Lasse Berg Johnsen 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
N. Zatterstrom 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
46′
1–0 T. Ali
L. Johnsen
55′
2–0 P. Jansson
O. Rosengren
60′
61′
🔁 M. Vrbanec
↦ L. Silagadze
61′
🔁 N. Khorkheli
↦ A. Rusevic
62′
🟥 Gizo Mamageishvili
Pontus Jansson 🟨
63′
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ P. Jansson
65′
I. Kiese 🔁
↦ D. T. Gudjohnsen
65′
H. Bolin 🔁
↦ L. Johnsen
65′
66′
🔁 A. Dzagania
↦ B. Kardava
69′
🟨 Giorgi Jgerenaia
73′
🟨 Giorgi Makaridze
S. Haksabanovic 🔁
↦ Busanello
75′
80′
🟨 Nika Khorkheli
81′
🟨 Giorgi Tabatadze
86′
🔁 T. Akhvlediani
↦ G. Tabatadze
86′
🔁 G. Kobuladze
↦ I. Tabatadze
3–0 T. Ali
O. Rosengren
89′
90′
A. Dzagania 3–1
N. Khorkheli
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

5-4-1
33 M. Ellborg G
2 J. Karlsson D
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
25 Busanello D
16 O. Berg M
23 L. Johnsen M
7 O. Rosengren M
22 T. Ali M
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen F
Bench (12)
1 Ricardo Friedrich
6 O. Lewicki
8 A. Sigurdsson
9 I. Kiese
11 E. Ekong
13 M. Olsson
29 S. Haksabanovic
34 Z. Loukili
35 N. Zatterstrom
37 A. Skogmar
38 H. Bolin
40 K. Busuladzic

Coach: Endika Gavina

FC Iberia 1999

4-3-3
31 G. Makaridze G
20 A. Zohouri D
24 D. Agyakwa D
4 G. Jgerenaia D
23 G. Tabatadze M
8 B. Kardava M
6 N. Dadiani M
11 G. Mamageishvili M
10 L. Silagadze M
32 A. Rusevic F
7 I. Tabatadze M
Bench (12)
1 T. Megrelishvili
12 S. Bochorishvili
9 A. Dzagania
13 M. Vrbanec
14 G. Goshteliani
15 G. Kukalia
18 I. Sikharulidze
25 A. Amisulashvili
29 T. Akhvlediani
30 N. Khorkheli
33 D. Klas
40 G. Kobuladze

Coach: Guga Nergadze

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.