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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adam Ladeback
Malmo FF
U S U T U
3–0
Full-time
Hacken
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Hacken
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 44%
42%
45%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,06 xG 0,33
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 5. · Hacken 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 12 8 3 1 +14 +0.8 27
2 Hammarby 13 8 3 2 +14 +8.4 27
3 AIK 12 7 5 0 +8 +1.0 26
4 Elfsborg 12 8 1 3 +10 +5.8 25
5 Malmo FF 12 5 4 3 +6 +8.7 19
6 GAIS 12 4 6 2 +5 +5.1 18
7 Goteborg 11 5 1 5 -2 -0.0 16
8 Hacken 11 4 3 4 -1 +1.5 15
9 Djurgarden 11 4 3 4 -5 -1.0 15
10 Norrkoping 12 4 2 6 -3 -5.8 14
11 Degerfors 12 4 1 7 -5 +0.7 13
12 Oster 12 3 2 7 -6 -6.7 11
13 Brommapojkarna 11 3 1 7 -4 +0.4 10
14 Halmstad 11 3 1 7 -15 -8.4 10
15 Sirius 11 2 3 6 -5 -6.1 9
16 Varnamo 11 0 3 8 -11 -4.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Hacken
1–0 J. Karlsson
9′
Otto Rosengren 🟨
13′
20′
🟨 John Paul Dembe
2–0 K. Busuladzic
D. T. Gudjohnsen
33′
40′
🟨 Adam Lundqvist
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Simon Gustafson
49′
🟨 Silas Andersen
53′
🟨 Marius Lode
57′
🔁 I. Brusberg
↦ J. Dembe
61′
🔁 F. Ohman
↦ S. Jansson
I. Kiese 🔁
↦ D. T. Gudjohnsen
67′
O. Berg 🔁
↦ S. Haksabanovic
67′
70′
🔁 N. Mitrovic
↦ P. Dahbo
70′
🔁 H. Hilvenius
↦ M. Rygaard
E. Ekong 🔁
↦ T. Ali
79′
Z. Loukili 🔁
↦ K. Busuladzic
79′
3–0 I. Kiese
O. Berg
85′
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-1-2
33 M. Ellborg G
2 J. Karlsson D
17 J. Stryger D
19 C. Rosler D
25 Busanello D
40 K. Busuladzic M
7 O. Rosengren M
38 H. Bolin M
29 S. Haksabanovic M
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen F
22 T. Ali F
Bench (9)
1 Ricardo Friedrich
9 I. Kiese
6 O. Lewicki
11 E. Ekong
37 A. Skogmar
16 O. Berg
34 Z. Loukili
44 M. Frejd Palsson
35 N. Zatterstrom

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Hacken

4-4-2
99 E. Berisha G
13 S. Jansson D
8 S. Andersen D
4 M. Lode D
21 A. Lundkvist D
16 P. Dahbo M
14 S. Gustafson M
15 S. Leach M
29 S. Nioule M
10 M. Rygaard F
19 J. Dembe F
Bench (9)
1 A. Linde
32 O. Jansson
17 B. Engdahl
22 N. Zecevic
28 F. Ohman
39 I. Brusberg
40 M. Ljungkull
42 N. Mitrovic
44 H. Hilvenius

Coach: Jens Otto Andreas Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adam Ladeback · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.