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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Inter
T T S S S
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
2,4
2,0
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,44 xG 1,42
50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter Liverpool
P. Zielinski 🔁
↦ H. Calhanoglu
11′
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
13′
Y. Bisseck 🔁
↦ F. Acerbi
31′
35′
ℹ️ Hugo Ekitiké
VAR: Goal cancelled
39′
🟨 Hugo Ekitiké
Half-time 0–0
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 🟨
57′
68′
🔁 F. Wirtz
↦ A. Isak
68′
🔁 C. Bradley
↦ J. Gomez
73′
🟨 Curtis Jones
P. Sucic 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
83′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
83′
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
83′
86′
ℹ️ Florian Wirtz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Alessandro Bastoni 🟨
87′
88′
⚽ D. Szoboszlai 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
25 M. Akanji D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
11 Luis Henrique M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Calhanoglu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martinez F
Bench (12)
13 J. Martinez
60 A. Taho
6 S. de Vrij
7 P. Zielinski
8 P. Sucic
14 A. Bonny
16 D. Frattesi
17 A. Diouf
30 Carlos Augusto
31 Y. Bisseck
43 M. Cocchi
94 F. Esposito

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Liverpool

4-3-1-2
1 Alisson G
2 J. Gomez D
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
38 R. Gravenberch M
17 C. Jones M
10 A. Mac Allister M
22 H. Ekitike F
9 A. Isak F
Bench (8)
25 G. Mamardashvili
28 F. Woodman
6 M. Kerkez
7 F. Wirtz
12 C. Bradley
42 T. Nyoni
73 R. Ngumoha
92 W. Lucky

Coach: Arne Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.