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Champions League
Referee: J Pinheiro
St. Gilloise
S T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Marseille
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,66 xG 1,46
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
10 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Marseille
1–0 A. Khalaili ⚽
R. Schoofs
5′
15′
⚽ I. Paixao 1–1
P. Aubameyang
28′
🟨 Timothy Weah
41′
⚽ M. Greenwood 1–2
P. Aubameyang
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 L. Balerdi
↦ T. Weah
58′
⚽ M. Greenwood 1–3
M. O'Riley
Christian Burgess 🟨
59′
P. David 🔁
↦ R. Florucz
63′
S. Boufal 🔁
↦ R. Schoofs
63′
Adem Zorgane 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 B. Nadir
↦ M. O'Riley
2–3 A. Khalaili ⚽
71′
Kevin Mac Allister ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
Ousseynou Niang 🟨
80′
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ K. Van De Perre
82′
M. Giger 🔁
↦ K. Rodriguez
82′
88′
🔁 G. Kondogbia
↦ P. Aubameyang
88′
🔁 R. Vaz
↦ M. Greenwood
Promise David 🟨
90′
R. Sykes 🔁
↦ O. Niang
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2
37 K. Scherpen G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
6 K. Van De Perre M
25 A. Khalaili M
8 A. Zorgane M
17 R. Schoofs M
22 O. Niang M
30 R. Florucz F
13 K. Rodriguez F
Bench (10)
1 V. Chambaere
3 M. T. Barry
4 M. Rasmussen
10 A. Ait El Hadj
11 Guilherme Smith
12 P. David
20 M. Giger
23 S. Boufal
26 R. Sykes
27 L. Patris

Coach: David Hubert

Marseille

3-4-1-2
1 G. Rulli G
62 M. Murillo D
21 N. Aguerd D
33 Emerson D
22 T. Weah M
18 A. Vermeeren M
23 P. Hojbjerg M
14 I. Paixao M
17 M. O'Riley F
10 M. Greenwood F
97 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (12)
12 J. De Lange
40 J. Van Neck
4 C. Egan-Riley
5 L. Balerdi
6 U. Garcia
8 A. Gomes
19 G. Kondogbia
26 B. Nadir
28 B. Pavard
34 R. Vaz
50 D. Bakola
76 T. Mmadi

Coach: Habib Beye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.