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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Ath Madrid
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Inter
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
4,8
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,8
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 1,42
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Mar -24 Ath Madrid – Inter 2–1 20. Feb -24 Inter – Ath Madrid 1–0

Match report

Ath Madrid Inter
1–0 J. Alvarez ⚽
9′
Julián Alvarez ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
11′
44′
🟨 Federico Dimarco
Half-time 1–1
54′
⚽ P. Zielinski 1–1
A. Bonny
Koke 🔁
↦ C. Gallagher
59′
M. Pubill 🔁
↦ J. Cardoso
59′
N. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ N. Molina
59′
65′
🔁 P. Sucic
↦ P. Zielinski
65′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ A. Bonny
A. Griezmann 🔁
↦ A. Baena
68′
A. Sorloth 🔁
↦ M. Ruggeri
68′
72′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ H. Calhanoglu
72′
🔁 F. Esposito
↦ L. Martinez
79′
🔁 Luis Henrique
↦ F. Dimarco
2–1 J. M. Gimenez ⚽
A. Griezmann
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-1-4-1
1 J. Musso G
16 N. Molina D
2 J. M. Gimenez D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
5 J. Cardoso M
20 G. Simeone M
4 C. Gallagher M
8 P. Barrios M
10 A. Baena M
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
31 S. Esquivel
33 M. de Luis
6 Koke
7 A. Griezmann
9 A. Sorloth
11 T. Almada
12 C. Martin
15 C. Lenglet
18 M. Pubill
21 J. Galan
22 G. Raspadori
23 N. Gonzalez

Coach: Diego Simeone

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
31 Y. Bisseck D
25 M. Akanji D
95 A. Bastoni D
30 Carlos Augusto M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Calhanoglu M
7 P. Zielinski M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 L. Martinez F
14 A. Bonny F
Bench (12)
13 J. Martinez
60 A. Taho
6 S. de Vrij
8 P. Sucic
9 M. Thuram
11 Luis Henrique
15 F. Acerbi
16 D. Frattesi
17 A. Diouf
43 M. Cocchi
53 C. Alexiou
94 F. Esposito

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.