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Champions League
Referee: Donatas Rumsas
Levski Sofia
T U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levski Sofia Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Levski Sofia Kairat Almaty
Half-time 0–0
M. Soula 🔁
↦ N. Serafimov
46′
60′
🔁 I. Bekbolat
↦ Edmilson
61′
🔁 D. Kasabulat
↦ O. Baybek
A. Mitkov 🔁
↦ A. Oko-Flex
64′
77′
🔁 M. Birkurmanov
↦ O. Jukkola
77′
🔁 E. Tapalov
↦ M. Gual
J. Perea 🔁
↦ Reinaldo
78′
88′
🔁 A. Shirobokov
↦ G. Mendonsa
S. Stoyanchov 🔁
↦ Everton Bala
90′
1–0 Serginho ⚽
M. Soula
90′
Serginho 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Levski Sofia

4-3-3
92 S. Vutsov G
21 A. Neves D
50 K. Dimitrov D
31 N. Serafimov D
20 A. Centelles D
35 Serginho M
18 G. Trdin M
19 M. Moubarik M
11 A. Oko-Flex M
7 Reinaldo F
17 Everton Bala M
Bench (10)
1 O. Vladimirov
78 M. Lukov
2 S. Hevertton
4 C. Makoun
9 J. Perea
10 A. Mitkov
22 M. Soula
27 D. Kusso
28 S. Stoyanchov
77 A. Raychev

Coach: Julio Velazquez

Kairat Almaty

4-3-3
1 T. Anarbekov G
24 A. Mrynskiy D
14 A. Martynovich D
44 Lucas Africo D
3 L. Mata D
8 O. Baybek M
13 J. Oksanen M
22 G. Mendonsa M
28 M. Gual F
9 Edmilson F
19 O. Jukkola M
Bench (12)
30 D. Buch
82 S. Kalmurza
4 D. Kasabulat
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
15 M. Birkurmanov
17 A. Tuyakbaev
20 E. Tapalov
25 A. Shirobokov
32 A. Nurgaliev
59 D. Tashpulatov
81 I. Bekbolat

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.