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Champions League
Referee: Ivan Kružliak
Ararat-Armenia
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Celje
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ararat-Armenia Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ararat-Armenia Celje
22′
⚽ S. Seslar 0–1
1–1 A. Serobyan ⚽
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Y. Dukuly
↦ V. Tusha
58′
🟨 Mario Kvesić
A. Tera 🔁
↦ M. Carlier
59′
Franca Carlos 🔁
↦ A. Serobyan
59′
64′
🔁 A. Kotnik
↦ S. Seslar
64′
🔁 R. Pozeg
↦ A. Kucys
2–1 Franca Carlos ⚽
E. Grigoryan
70′
M. Ayvazyan 🔁
↦ Z. Banjaqui
83′
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ H. Oliveira
90′
P. Ayongo 🔁
↦ Sandro Lima
90′
95′
🟨 Papa Daniel
95′
🔁 M. Poplatnik
↦ P. Daniel
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 Joao Bravim G
3 Junior Julio D
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez D
47 A. Malis D
16 E. Grigoryan D
2 H. Oliveira D
19 K. Muradyan M
17 M. Carlier M
77 A. Serobyan M
91 Sandro Lima F
11 Z. Banjaqui M
Bench (12)
1 A. Nersesyan
5 Luis Felipe
6 M. Ayvazyan
7 Z. Shaghoyan
8 J. A. Balanta
9 A. Eloyan
14 B. Pereira
20 A. Tera
25 A. Ndour
70 Benny
90 P. Ayongo
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Celje

3-4-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 P. Sirvys D
4 D. Hrka M
6 A. Tutyskinas D
25 V. Tusha M
13 P. Daniel M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
8 M. Kvesic M
10 S. Seslar M
47 A. Kucys F
11 M. Avdyli M
Bench (12)
12 L. Kolar
23 Z. Frelih
3 D. Vuklisevic
7 B. Verbic
17 A. Kotnik
20 A. Dionkou
27 I. Calusic
33 L. Koutris
77 M. Ivansek
91 Y. Dukuly
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.