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Champions League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Fenerbahce
S S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

72% Possession 28%
17 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Sturm Graz
1–0 Talisca ⚽
K. Akturkoglu
9′
21′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
A. Brown 🔁
↦ J. Oosterwolde
30′
2–0 M. Greenwood ⚽
M. Asensio
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Kayombo
↦ S. Wlodarczyk
58′
🟨 Jurgen Heil
64′
🔁 G. Mamageishvili
↦ S. Seidl
64′
🔁 R. Fosso
↦ L. Weinhandl
64′
🔁 N. Weiper
↦ S. Jatta
65′
🟨 Axel Kayombo
Fred 🔁
↦ M. Greenwood
69′
I. Kahveci 🔁
↦ M. Asensio
69′
M. Muldur 🔁
↦ N. Semedo
85′
O. Aydin 🔁
↦ K. Akturkoglu
85′
87′
🔁 B. Beganovic
↦ J. Hodl
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
34 M. Gunok G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
15 N. Ake D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
6 M. Guendouzi M
91 N. Kante M
11 M. Greenwood M
10 M. Asensio M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
94 Talisca F
Bench (12)
31 Ederson
7 Fred
18 M. Muldur
5 I. Yuksek
20 A. Musaba
3 A. Brown
14 Y. E. Demir
26 S. Cherif
19 V. Muriqi
4 C. Soyuncu
17 I. Kahveci
70 O. Aydin

Coach: Ismail Kartal

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
28 J. Heil D
5 A. Vallci D
2 J. Mitchell D
18 E. Soglo D
43 J. Hodl M
39 L. Weinhandl M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
19 S. Seidl M
17 S. Wlodarczyk F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (12)
22 A. Helac
32 C. Wiener-Pucher
15 G. Mamageishvili
80 R. Fosso
26 B. Beganovic
21 P. Petrovic
30 P. Koller
40 J. Halwachs
44 N. Weiper
27 L. Balbo
11 A. Kayombo
23 A. Malic

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.