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Bundesliga
Referee: Stefan Ebner
Tirol
U S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,60 xG 2,13
42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 9
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -26 Tirol – Sturm Graz 1–0 3. Dec -25 Sturm Graz – Tirol 1–3 7. Dec -24 Tirol – Sturm Graz 0–3 31. Aug -24 Sturm Graz – Tirol 4–2 25. Feb -24 Tirol – Sturm Graz 0–2

Match report

Tirol Sturm Graz
14′
🟨 Simon Seidl
18′
🟨 Jacob Hödl
19′
🟨 Emran Soglo
25′
🟨 Ryan Fosso
29′
⚽ S. Wlodarczyk 0–1
E. Soglo
1–1 M. Olakigbe ⚽
R. Gschosser
42′
Half-time 1–1
65′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ B. Beganovic
66′
🔁 L. Balbo
↦ E. Soglo
72′
🔁 G. Mamageishvili
↦ J. Hodl
72′
🔁 A. Kayombo
↦ S. Wlodarczyk
75′
ℹ️ Albert Vallci
VAR: Penalty cancelled
A. Ola-Adebomi 🔁
↦ N. Baden Frederiksen
75′
T. Goiginger 🔁
↦ H. Balic
75′
Raphael Gschösser 🟨
84′
M. Bambara 🔁
↦ M. Olakigbe
85′
D. Gugganig 🔁
↦ D. Kubatta
85′
D. Falkner 🔁
↦ L. Hinterseer
89′
90′
🔁 J. Mitchell
↦ P. Koller
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tirol

4-1-3-2
1 S. Hamzic G
5 D. Murray D
23 M. Boras D
14 D. Kubatta D
32 R. Gschosser D
43 N. Celic M
18 H. Balic M
11 M. Satin M
17 M. Olakigbe M
8 N. Baden Frederiksen F
16 L. Hinterseer F
Bench (9)
13 A. Eckmayr
9 A. Ola-Adebomi
15 M. Bambara
22 D. Falkner
38 S. Wieser
36 T. Goiginger
3 D. Gugganig
27 D. Jaunegg
31 M. Neuner

Coach: Philipp Semlic

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
53 D. Khudyakov G
28 J. Heil D
5 A. Vallci D
30 P. Koller D
18 E. Soglo D
80 R. Fosso M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
26 B. Beganovic M
19 S. Seidl M
43 J. Hodl M
17 S. Wlodarczyk F
Bench (9)
22 A. Helac
20 S. Jatta
15 G. Mamageishvili
21 P. Petrovic
40 J. Halwachs
2 J. Mitchell
27 L. Balbo
11 A. Kayombo
23 A. Malic

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.