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Champions League
Referee: Davide Massa
Kauno Žalgiris
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -26 Dinamo Zagreb – Kauno Žalgiris 5–0

Match report

Kauno Žalgiris Dinamo Zagreb
Anton Tolordava 🟨
10′
Joris Moutachy 🟨
11′
19′
⚽ L. Kacavenda 0–1
D. Beljo
30′
⚽ J. Misic 0–2
32′
🟥 Ivan Filipović
34′
🔁 I. Nevistic
↦ M. Lisica
Half-time 0–2
G. Debeljuh 🔁
↦ Renan Oliveira
46′
46′
🔁 B. Goda
↦ M. Perez Vinlof
46′
🔁 G. Vidovic
↦ L. Stojkovic
54′
🟨 Dion Drena Beljo
1–2 G. Debeljuh ⚽
56′
Leo Ribeiro 🔁
↦ L. Krekovic
57′
I. Fiolic 🔁
↦ M. Burba
57′
61′
🔁 F. Topic
↦ D. Beljo
A. Kalik 🔁
↦ F. Baldassarra
66′
72′
🔁 N. Galesic
↦ L. Kacavenda
F. Ourega 🔁
↦ A. Benchaib
79′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

4-1-4-1
22 D. Mikelionis G
45 J. Moutachy D
3 A. Tolordava D
77 R. Lekiatas D
33 M. Konatar D
32 F. Baldassarra M
24 M. Burba F
7 A. Benchaib F
14 V. Slivka M
9 L. Krekovic M
19 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (10)
55 T. Svedkauskas
8 Y. Karashima
10 G. Sirgedas
15 Leo Ribeiro
17 I. Fiolic
20 A. Kalik
23 A. Hernandez
27 G. Debeljuh
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
70 F. Ourega

Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas

Dinamo Zagreb

4-3-3
44 I. Filipovic G
25 M. Valincic D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
22 M. Perez Vinlof D
80 L. Kacavenda M
27 J. Misic M
7 L. Stojkovic M
21 M. Lisica M
9 D. Beljo F
99 M. Orsic M
Bench (12)
1 D. Zagorac
33 I. Nevistic
3 B. Goda
6 S. Radeljic
8 M. Zajc
10 G. Vidovic
11 A. Hoxha
13 P. Tabinas
14 S. Prevljak
15 N. Galesic
30 F. Topic
41 S. Sunta

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.