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Europa League
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Genk
S S S S S
3–3
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 49%
64%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
55%
78%
Both score Ø 61%
55%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,41 xG 1,61
47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Dinamo Zagreb – Genk 1–3

Match report

Genk Dinamo Zagreb
Joris Kayembe 🟨
16′
31′
🟨 Niko Galešić
45′
⚽ M. Bakrar 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Sor ⚽
B. Heynen
51′
Daan Heymans 🟨
53′
57′
⚽ L. Stojkovic 1–2
Y. Medina 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
62′
A. Bibout 🔁
↦ R. Mirisola
62′
66′
🔁 M. Perez Vinlof
↦ B. Goda
74′
🔁 M. Lisica
↦ F. Topic
74′
🔁 C. Varela
↦ G. Vidovic
75′
⚽ L. Stojkovic 1–3
M. Valincic
N. Sattlberger 🔁
↦ I. Bangoura
81′
1–4 M. Perez Vinlof ⚽
own goal
101′
J. Steuckers 🔁
↦ J. Ito
102′
N. Adedeji-Sternberg 🔁
↦ Y. Sor
102′
104′
🟨 Miha Zajc
104′
ℹ️ Luka Stojković
VAR: Card upgrade
105′
🟥 Luka Stojković
106′
🔁 M. Soldo
↦ M. Zajc
107′
🟨 Josip Mišić
2–4 D. Heymans ⚽
J. Steuckers
114′
117′
🔁 S. Sunta
↦ J. Misic
117′
🔁 M. Zebic
↦ N. Galesic
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Genk

4-4-2
26 T. Lawal G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
10 J. Ito M
8 B. Heynen M
21 I. Bangoura M
14 Y. Sor M
38 D. Heymans F
29 R. Mirisola F
Bench (11)
1 H. Van Crombrugge
28 L. Brughmans
7 J. Steuckers
19 Y. Medina
23 A. Bibout
24 N. Sattlberger
27 K. Nkuba
30 A. Yokoyama
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
34 A. Palacios
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Dinamo Zagreb

4-3-3
40 D. Livakovic G
25 M. Valincic D
15 N. Galesic D
26 S. McKenna D
3 B. Goda D
7 L. Stojkovic M
27 J. Misic M
8 M. Zajc M
30 F. Topic F
71 M. Bakrar F
10 G. Vidovic F
Bench (9)
33 I. Nevistic
44 I. Filipovic
14 M. Soldo
21 M. Lisica
22 M. Perez Vinlof
23 C. Varela
35 N. Mikic
41 S. Sunta
42 M. Zebic

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.