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Champions League
Referee: Szymon Marciniak
Lyon
S S T T T
3–0
Full-time
Sparta Praha
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
19 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -26 Sparta Praha – Lyon 2–1

Match report

Lyon Sparta Praha
1–0 E. Nuamah ⚽
20′
34′
🟥 Adam Ševinský
37′
🔁 J. Zeleny
↦ A. Irving
Half-time 1–0
Ainsley Maitland-Niles 🟨
54′
63′
🔁 S. Eneme
↦ R. Macek
63′
🔁 E. Singhateh
↦ J. Brunes
2–0 A. Maitland-Niles ⚽
C. Tolisso
66′
3–0 T. Morton ⚽
72′
73′
🔁 H. Sochurek
↦ A. Karabec
74′
🔁 V. Vitalyos
↦ J. Mercado
C. Mata 🔁
↦ A. Maitland-Niles
76′
K. Boudache 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
76′
J. Duranville 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
85′
M. Ouedraogo 🔁
↦ Abner Vinicius
85′
N. Nartey 🔁
↦ C. Tolisso
88′
89′
🟨 Matěj Ryneš
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
21 R. Kluivert D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
6 T. Tessmann M
23 T. Morton M
7 E. Nuamah M
8 C. Tolisso M
11 M. Fofana M
17 L. Openda F
Bench (11)
25 J. Bengui
40 R. Descamps
22 C. Mata
26 K. Boudache
45 R. Himbert
24 J. Duranville
99 N. Nartey
39 M. de Carvalho
76 M. Ouedraogo
85 N. Kamara
37 S. Kango

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Sparta Praha

4-2-3-1
44 J. Surovcik G
2 M. Suchomel D
19 A. Sevinsky D
25 A. Sorensen D
11 M. Rynes D
28 R. Macek M
18 A. Irving M
17 J. Mercado M
10 A. Karabec M
7 J. Alcocer M
14 J. Brunes F
Bench (12)
47 K. Hegyi
54 L. Franc
3 P. Kaderabek
5 S. Eneme
29 M. Vojta
24 D. Holly
36 G. Kuol
27 E. Singhateh
30 J. Zeleny
21 J. Grimaldo
38 H. Sochurek
15 V. Vitalyos

Coach: Brian Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Szymon Marciniak · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.