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Champions League
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Fenerbahce
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Lyon
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jan -25 Fenerbahce – Lyon 0–0

Match report

Fenerbahce Lyon
37′
🟨 Abner Vinícius
40′
⚽ L. Openda 0–1
C. Tolisso
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Greenwood ⚽
K. Akturkoglu
47′
D. Nene 🔁
↦ K. Akturkoglu
73′
M. Asensio 🔁
↦ Talisca
73′
75′
🔁 C. Mata
↦ R. Kluivert
75′
🔁 K. Boudache
↦ E. Nuamah
N'Golo Kanté 🟨
81′
R. Lukaku 🔁
↦ V. Muriqi
82′
Milan Škriniar 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ T. Morton
91′
🔁 M. Ouedraogo
↦ M. Fofana
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
15 N. Ake D
3 A. Brown D
91 N. Kante M
6 M. Guendouzi M
11 M. Greenwood M
94 Talisca M
7 K. Akturkoglu M
19 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
13 T. Cetin
75 K. Sapaz
18 M. Muldur
14 Y. E. Demir
22 L. Mercan
5 I. Yuksek
70 O. Aydin
28 B. Elmaz
45 D. Nene
9 R. Lukaku
10 M. Asensio
17 I. Kahveci

Coach: Ismail Kartal

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
21 R. Kluivert D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
6 T. Tessmann M
23 T. Morton M
7 E. Nuamah M
8 C. Tolisso M
11 M. Fofana M
17 L. Openda F
Bench (12)
25 J. Bengui
40 R. Descamps
22 C. Mata
13 Z. Athekame
20 F. Bacher
2 M. Bidstrup
99 N. Nartey
39 M. de Carvalho
76 M. Ouedraogo
26 K. Boudache
45 R. Himbert
24 J. Duranville

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.