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Europa League
Referee: F Letexier
Atalanta
S T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
56%
89%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,4
Scored
2,0
3,1
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,58 xG 1,58
30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Apr -24 Liverpool – Atalanta 0–3

Match report

Atalanta Liverpool
7′
Mohamed Salah 0–1
Isak Hien 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
66′
🔁 Diogo Jota
↦ L. Díaz
67′
🔁 H. Elliott
↦ D. Szoboszlai
67′
🔁 D. Núñez
↦ Mohamed Salah
72′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ Éderson
75′
C. De Ketelaere 🔁
↦ G. Scamacca
75′
Teun Koopmeiners 🟨
77′
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ Aleksey Miranchuk
79′
79′
🔁 J. Danns
↦ A. Robertson
Davide Zappacosta 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
1 J. Musso G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
77 D. Zappacosta M
13 Éderson M
15 M. de Roon M
22 M. Ruggeri M
7 T. Koopmeiners F
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F
90 G. Scamacca F
Bench (12)
8 M. Pašalić
17 C. De Ketelaere
11 A. Lookman
29 M. Carnesecchi
10 E. Touré
43 G. Bonfanti
33 H. Hateboer
31 F. Rossi
3 E. Holm
20 M. Bakker
25 M. Adopo
2 R. Tolói

Coach: G. Gasperini

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson Becker G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
10 A. Mac Allister M
17 C. Jones M
11 Mohamed Salah F
18 C. Gakpo F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (12)
20 Diogo Jota
19 H. Elliott
9 D. Núñez
2 J. Gomez
76 J. Danns
38 R. Gravenberch
3 W. Endo
78 J. Quansah
13 Adrián
42 B. Clark
21 K. Tsimikas
62 C. Kelleher

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.