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Europa League
Referee: H Meler
Liverpool
S T S S U
0–3
Full-time
Atalanta
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
75%
63%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
88%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
4,6
2,6
Scored
3,5
1,9
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,35 xG 2,90
70% Possession 30%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
5 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Liverpool Atalanta
25′
🟨 Isak Hien
38′
⚽ G. Scamacca 0–1
D. Zappacosta
Half-time 0–1
D. Szoboszlai 🔁
↦ C. Jones
46′
A. Robertson 🔁
↦ K. Tsimikas
46′
Mohamed Salah 🔁
↦ H. Elliott
46′
L. Díaz 🔁
↦ D. Núñez
60′
60′
⚽ G. Scamacca 0–2
C. De Ketelaere
Diogo Jota 🔁
↦ W. Endo
76′
77′
🟨 Matteo Ruggeri
83′
⚽ M. Pašalić 0–3
89′
🔁 Aleksey Miranchuk
↦ C. De Ketelaere
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
2 J. Gomez D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
10 A. Mac Allister M
3 W. Endo M
17 C. Jones M
19 H. Elliott F
9 D. Núñez F
18 C. Gakpo F
Bench (12)
8 D. Szoboszlai
26 A. Robertson
11 Mohamed Salah
7 L. Díaz
20 Diogo Jota
78 J. Quansah
38 R. Gravenberch
13 Adrián
66 T. Alexander-Arnold
43 Stefan Bajčetić
42 B. Clark
84 C. Bradley

Coach: J. Klopp

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
1 J. Musso G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
15 M. de Roon D
77 D. Zappacosta M
13 Éderson M
8 M. Pašalić M
22 M. Ruggeri M
7 T. Koopmeiners F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
90 G. Scamacca F
Bench (11)
59 Aleksey Miranchuk
11 A. Lookman
31 F. Rossi
20 M. Bakker
29 M. Carnesecchi
2 R. Tolói
10 E. Touré
33 H. Hateboer
3 E. Holm
43 G. Bonfanti
25 M. Adopo

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.