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Europa League
Referee: D Fuxman
Panathinaikos
T T T T U
2–1
Full-time
Botev Plovdiv
U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Botev Plovdiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos Botev Plovdiv
1–0 A. Jeremejeff ⚽
F. Mladenović
8′
30′
🟨 James Eto'o
34′
🟨 Antonio Perera Calderón
2–0 A. Bakasetas ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–0
63′
🔁 A. Korošec
↦ J. Etoo
Daniel Mancini 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 M. Sekulić
↦ A. Ujah
70′
🔁 Y. Karabelyov
↦ Antonio Perera
70′
⚽ A. Korošec 2–1
M. Sekulić
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
74′
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ T. Vilhena
74′
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
78′
80′
🔁 S. Diabaté
↦ S. Akere
80′
🔁 E. Ukaki
↦ I. Popov
81′
🟨 Alen Korošec
Bartłomiej Drągowski 🟨
83′
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
89′
S. Ingason 🔁
↦ B. Schenkeveld
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
21 T. Jedvaj D
25 F. Mladenović D
55 Willian Arão M
52 T. Vilhena M
17 D. Mancini M
11 A. Bakasetas M
31 F. Đuričić M
29 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (12)
18 D. Limnios
20 N. Maksimović
9 A. Šporar
77 B. Verbič
15 S. Ingason
27 G. Kotsiras
16 A. Gnezda Čerin
1 Y. Lodygin
36 G. Katris
81 K. Lilo
32 G. Baldock
6 Zeca

Coach: D. Alonso

Botev Plovdiv

4-2-3-1
32 M. Igonen G
17 N. Minkov D
5 J. Tamm D
19 A. Conté D
38 K. Balogiannis D
15 J. Eto'o D
20 Antonio Perera M
7 S. Akere M
10 I. Popov M
40 C. Nwachukwu M
11 A. Ujah F
Bench (12)
88 A. Korošec
9 M. Sekulić
28 Y. Karabelyov
27 S. Diabaté
4 E. Ukaki
16 M. Remeikis
99 A. Maraš
21 N. Iliev
1 H. Bernat
42 I. Videv
22 D. Kajzer
6 A. Yordanov

Coach: D. Kerkez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.